Don't you think that in the air, lately, more and more smells of war? But in vain. Smells. Yes, not just an unremarkable clash of some African powers, which, except for their closest neighbors, no one has ever heard of. And the real one - with the application.
Not without reason, last year, the world spending on the purchase of weapons, for the first time since the height of the Cold War, amounted to more than a trillion dollars.
The only question is, who and because of what, will start the Third World War? Almost everyone remembers that the reason for the start of the First World War was the assassination of the Serbian - let's call a spade a spade - terrorist heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne Franz Ferdinand.
The fact that the Second World War began with an alleged attack on a radio station in the German city of Gleiwitz, organized by the Poles, will be remembered only by those who are well versed in history. Well, those who studied history well in Soviet schools will confidently say that the real reason for the start of both world wars was the extremely intensified struggle of the then superpowers for sources of raw materials and markets.
World War III for oil
Isn't it all being fought for these days? Oh wow, how! It is not for nothing that the Americans decided to acquaint the inhabitants of oil-rich Iraq with the values of democracy. But, the inhabitants of the DPRK, where democracy is also not all right, no one is in a hurry to release from the power of Kim Jong Il. For one simple reason - such an operation is inappropriate. For the sake of ideology alone, as it was during the times of rivalry between the USSR and the USA, even the smallest wars are now not started, let alone the Third World War.
The invasion of Afghanistan does not count - it was George W. Bush's personal revenge on the "insidious enemy." Had it not been for the attack on the Twin Towers, the Taliban would almost certainly still be in control of Kabul. Well, if so, then the beginning of the Third World War is only a matter of time. It remains only to understand why it is most likely to be started. Because of the oil. Oil has the best chance of becoming a bone of contention, of course. Modern civilization firmly sits on the oil needle and oil consumption is growing every year, and its reserves in the world are rapidly declining.
In just ten years - from 1993 to 2003 - world oil consumption increased from 66.6 to 78.1 million barrels per day (+17%). At the same time, more than half of all oil is consumed by residents of a few rich countries. The United States accounts for more than a quarter of world consumption, and this despite the fact that only slightly more than 4.5% of the world's population lives in the United States.
Own oil in the United States is produced more than two times less than the country needs for a normal - in the understanding of Americans - life. The deficit is covered by imports from abroad. And that is why the US authorities are very careful to ensure that oil-rich countries are ruled by regimes loyal to the United States.
So far, it has come to open military intervention only once, but, as you know, the worst of trouble is the beginning. In jokes like “Are you still extracting oil yourself? Then we fly to you! and “US military geologists discovered some Arab country over large deposits of American oil”, there is definitely some truth, through the prism of a joke. And quite big. If gasoline continues to rise in price at US gas stations, other states may share the fate of Iraq. This is the background of World War III for resources.
And there is no doubt that gasoline will rise in price, alas. Simply because it (as well as fuel oil, kerosene and other petroleum products) will be required more and more every year. And the reserves of oil, from which all this is made, are by no means endless. According to British Petroleum experts, the oil reserves currently available throughout the world will last only 41 years. Remember this period and keep in mind that the sooner the Third World War begins, the more oil the United States will pump. And this - while maintaining the current production volumes, and, as already mentioned, it is growing. All this means that, already in the near future, there will simply be not enough oil.
But already now, almost 2 billion people - a third of the world's population - have almost no opportunity to use electricity or liquid fuels and, thereby, are doomed to a medieval existence that breeds despair, discontent and, ultimately, civil. Immediately after oil becomes scarce, oil prices will rise, current exporters will begin to reduce supplies to the free market and begin to hide precious raw materials for themselves. And, sooner or later, the United States will want to arrange a redistribution in its favor through the Third World War, in which nuclear weapons will be used.
In other words, we are on the verge of a new kind of World War III - between those who have enough energy and those who do not have it, but who are more and more willing to go and get it. By the way, the Third World War for oil has been going on for a long time. True, so far only gamers are participating in it, on whose computers a game called “The Third World War. Black gold. I hope you understand the thin line of irony.
The plot, in short, is as follows - at a secret conference of the UN Central Geological Commission they announce that the world's reserves will last for a maximum of 8-10 years, and since even the most highly developed countries cannot find any alternative in such a short time, it remains only to try to redistribute that , what is. In the game, the United States starts World War III. In real life, it will most likely be them. After all, oil in the US, according to BP experts, will run out in 11 years. And the United States is unlikely to want to humiliate itself in front of some Arab who has enough black gold for another 59 years.
Reference. The First World War lasted more than 4 years (from August 1, 1914 to November 11, 1918). 38 states participated in it, over 74 million people fought on its fields, of which 10 million. were killed and 20 million maimed.
World War III for water
Back in 2001, UN chief Kofi Annan said that in the new millennium, "wars will be fought over water, not at all over oil." The fact is that clean fresh water suitable for drinking and irrigating fields is already lacking in many countries of the world. But, by 2020, according to UN forecasts, the population of the Earth will grow so that each individual earthling will have a third less water than now. And then, all the current problems - every sixth person is deprived of the opportunity to drink clean fresh water, about two million people die every year due to diseases that are caused by drinking dirty water, etc. - will multiply. And in regions where the lack of water makes itself felt especially acute, because of the precious liquid, armed conflicts will begin to flare up. Many of which may well develop into the Third World War. UN experts consider the basins of large rivers that cross, in their course, several countries - the Ganges, Mekong, Limpopo, Zambezi, Orange, Okavango, Senegal and others, to be the most likely place for the start of the first "water war". (By the way, our Ob and the Irtysh were among the potential "culprits" of the discord.)
However, the conflict around the little-known Hasbani river, which fills Israel's largest body of water, Lake Tiberias, may turn out to be much more dangerous. However, for the first 50 kilometers it flows through the territory of Lebanon, where there is also not an excess of water. Here, only in Israel, this is not considered a reason for dividing. After an irrigation pumping station was built on Lebanon's Hasbani in 2001, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon warned that any attempt to deprive Israel of even a fraction of Israel's water would be seen as a casus belli. Even more likely is the start of a “water war” between Pakistan and, in fact, India, which controls its water supply. Back in 1960, both countries signed an agreement according to which the waters of the Indus, Jhelum and Chenab rivers originating in India are considered "Pakistani". India can use the water of the "Pakistan" rivers, but has no right to change their channels or build reservoirs. The termination of this treaty means a threat to the lives of millions of ordinary Pakistanis and the complete destruction of the country's agriculture, and the first statements about the possibility of denouncing the document have already been made. In a few years, India, in order to water its ever-increasing population, can move from words to deeds. And this, for sure, will lead to a nuclear Third World War.
The former head of Pakistani intelligence, and now the Minister of Transport and Communications, Javed Ashraf Qazi, has already stated that if the very existence of the state of Pakistan is called into question, Islamabad will not hesitate to inflict on India.
Reference. 72 states were involved in World War II. Up to 110 million people were mobilized in the countries participating in the war. During the war, up to 62 million people died.
world food war 3
The calculations made back in the 19th century by the English economist Thomas Malthus, according to whom, without mass death of the population during wars, the Earth simply will not be able to feed an ever-increasing population, until recently, they practically did not pay attention. Optimists argued that, with the proper use of available resources, no problems would arise, even if the world's population doubled. But, there is a problem. Land suitable for agricultural development is distributed extremely unevenly around the world, and those countries where there is more than enough of it are not at all eager to share with someone else. As a result, about a billion people now suffer from regular malnutrition, and approximately 25,000 dying of hunger. Daily.
Moreover, it is precisely those countries where, in recent years, the greatest population growth has been observed that suffer from food shortages. Moreover, the situation is deteriorating in many densely populated countries, where the problems are not yet so noticeable. For example, in China there is already a shortage of grain. After reaching a historic peak of 392 million tons in 1998, grain production by the world's largest population has fallen to less than 350 million tons.
The resulting deficit has so far been covered by the reduction of China's vast grain reserves. But if this situation continues, soon China will be forced to turn to the world grain market, after which prices will rise sharply, and it will be almost impossible to provide food, through imports, to hundreds of millions of people. In this situation, China will be forced to either increase grain production by raising its own virgin lands, for which it will implement the long-cherished project of turning to the arid regions of the waters of the Indus and the Brahmaputra, or try to seize new lands in the north. And in the north is Russia.
But, the first will mean the beginning of a "water war" with India, Bangladesh and Pakistan, and the second - the Third World War with Russia. And in fact, and in another case, without nuclear strikes, for sure, will not do.
World War III for planetary domination
During the confrontation between the USSR and the USA, none of the parties could get involved in a serious military conflict, reasonably fearing that the second superpower would openly take the side of the enemy. And the United States was not ready to fight with the USSR.
Simply because, back in the days of Robert McNamara, it was calculated that even a massive preemptive nuclear strike would not save the United States from a retaliatory attack. And powerful enough to make any victory pyrrhic. Thus, the concept of "unacceptable harm" was born. According to experts, in order to force the United States to abandon all thoughts of war, it is enough to guarantee the infliction of approximately 200 megaton strikes on their territory. Russia's current nuclear arsenal is a far greater threat, so there is no need to fear a US attack for the time being. Till. Alas, the situation may change in the near future. Created back in Soviet times, the "nuclear sword" is rapidly "rusting". According to experts, out of 270 mobile ground solid fuel systems RS-12M Topol, in five years, only 144 can remain in service. During the same period, 89 new Topol-M complexes will arrive (64 RS-12M2 and 15 RS -12M1), which is almost half the number of ICBMs of this type to be eliminated (136 units).
At the same time, in the period up to 2010, the number of missile divisions of the Strategic Missile Forces will be reduced from 15 to 10, and the number of intercontinental ballistic missiles on combat duty will decrease from the current 496 to 313. The States, meanwhile, are diligently building a powerful missile defense system. So far, it is capable - and even then, not too confidently - of intercepting only single missiles. However, with the current rate of development of missile defense, the United States, within 7-10 years, with a high degree of probability, will be able to bring its combat capabilities to intercept targets from 3-7 to 250-300. The maximum technological capabilities incorporated today in the missile defense system under construction can provide, with its full deployment and subsequent deep modernization, the interception of up to 1000-1200 targets. After that, the US can - in the hope that the missile defense system will protect them from missiles from the surviving mobile complexes and silos - venture a pre-emptive nuclear strike on Russia. And then the Third World War will definitely begin, the outcome of which is a big question due to the use of nuclear weapons.
If it works out, then the United States will get rid of the most dangerous adversary even before the start of the Third World War for resources.
How many countries will take part in World War III? How many years will it last? How many people will die on its fronts?
The third part of the article presents some possible scenarios for the outbreak of the Third World War.
World War III scenarios
Scenario 1. The United States alone or with the support of Great Britain and other allies, will organize another blitzkrieg under the banner of the struggle for democracy. This time against Libya or Iran. The goal is to put someone on the Libyan "throne" who understands that "it is necessary to share." Well, for example, the head of the oppositional Gaddafi of the National Front for the Liberation of Libya Ashura Shamis, now living in London.
Unable to withstand the massive bombing and cruise missile attacks, Libya turns to the Organization of Arab States and the entire Muslim world for help. At the same time, the Libyan intelligence services are organizing terrorist attacks against the Americans, including on the territory of the United States, in scale far exceeding the disaster over Lockerbie and the explosion of a disco in ... Including with the use of chemical weapons.
Anti-Arab hysteria and pogroms begin in the United States, which, in turn, leads to the activation of anti-American sentiments in the Muslim world. US military bases in Saudi Arabia and other countries are under attack, and a large-scale Palestinian uprising begins in Israel.
The case ends in a lot of blood, which causes outbreaks of religious fanaticism and popular unrest. Leaders loyal to the United States, including those in Pakistan, are being replaced by irreconcilable opponents.
Accusing the new regimes of supporting terrorists, the Americans are trying to eliminate their leaders, which only leads to the opening of the second, third and other "fronts".
More and more countries are getting involved in the Third World War. At some point - the United States, Israel, Pakistan, or India, which decided to settle its accounts with the latter, inflict a nuclear strike on the enemy.
The retaliatory strikes immediately follow, and the regional conflict develops into the Third World War with the use of nuclear weapons.
Scenario 2. Having learned about the beginning of the construction of dams on the Indus and its tributaries, the Pakistani authorities are trying to inflict bombing and missile attacks on construction sites, which causes a full-scale military conflict that escalates into the Third World War. The numerical superiority of the Indians puts Pakistan in danger of complete defeat, after which nuclear weapons are used. However, the Pakistanis fail to destroy the enemy's nuclear potential, and India strikes back with a nuclear strike. After that, other Muslim countries get involved in the war, and the conflict begins to rapidly turn into the Third World War.
Scenario 3. After 10-15 years, in order to water the growing population of their country, the Lebanese authorities begin the construction of a dam on the Hasbani River. In response, Israel again, as it did in the late 1970s, introduces its troops into Lebanon. However, by that time, the once-Christian Lebanon finally turns into an ordinary, by Middle Eastern standards, Muslim country, and the occupation becomes the reason for the start of a large-scale Arab-Jewish World War III. On the side of Israel, the United States enters the war, after which events develop according to scenario 1.
Don't you think that the smell of war has become more and more in the air lately? But in vain. Smells. Yes, not just an unremarkable clash of some African powers, which, except for their closest neighbors, no one has ever heard of. And the real one. Third world. Not without reason, last year, global arms spending for the first time since the height of the Cold War amounted to more than a trillion dollars. The only question is who and because of what will start the Third World War.
Almost everyone remembers that the reason for the outbreak of the First World War was the assassination of the Serbian - let's call a spade a spade - terrorist heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne Franz Ferdinand. The fact that World War II began with an attack allegedly organized by the Poles on a radio station in the German city of Gleiwitz will be remembered only by those who are well versed in history. Well, those who studied history well in Soviet schools will confidently say that the real reason for the start of both wars was the extremely intensified struggle of the then superpowers for sources of raw materials and markets.
Isn't it all fought for these days? Oh wow, how! It is not for nothing that the Americans decided to acquaint the inhabitants of oil-rich Iraq with the values of democracy. But the inhabitants of the DPRK, where democracy is also not all right, no one is in a hurry to release from the power of Kim Jong Il. For one simple reason - such an operation is not economically feasible. For the sake of ideology alone, as was the case during the rivalry between the USSR and the USA, even the smallest wars are not started now. The invasion of Afghanistan does not count - it was George W. Bush's personal revenge on an insidious enemy. Had it not been for the attack on the Twin Towers, the Taliban would almost certainly still be in control of Kabul. Well, if so, then the beginning of the Third World War is only a matter of time. It remains only to understand why exactly it will most likely be started.
Because of the oil
Oil has the best chance of becoming a bone of contention, of course. Modern civilization firmly sits on the oil needle and oil consumption is growing every year. For some ten years - from 1993 to 2003 - world oil consumption increased from 66.6 to 78.1 million barrels per day (+17%). At the same time, more than half of all oil is consumed by residents of a few rich countries. The United States accounts for more than a quarter of global consumption, despite the fact that only slightly more than 4.5% of the world's population lives in the United States.
Own oil in the United States is produced more than two times less than the country needs for a normal - in the understanding of Americans - life. The deficit is covered by imports from abroad. And that is why the American authorities are very closely watching to ensure that oil-rich countries are ruled by regimes loyal to the United States. So far, open military intervention has reached only once, but, as you know, it's a start. In jokes like “Are you still extracting oil yourself? Then we fly to you! and "US military geologists discovered some kind of Arab country over large deposits of American oil" there is definitely some truth. And quite big. If gasoline continues to rise in price at US gas stations, other states may share the fate of Iraq.
And there is no doubt that gasoline will rise in price, alas. Simply because it (as well as fuel oil, kerosene and other petroleum products) will be required every year more and more. And the reserves of oil, from which all this is made, are by no means endless. According to experts from British Petroleum, the oil reserves currently available throughout the world will last only 41 years. And this is while maintaining the current production volumes, and, as already mentioned, it is growing.
All this means that in the near future there will simply be not enough oil. But already now, almost 2 billion people - a third of the world's population - have almost no opportunity to use electricity or liquid fuels and are thus doomed to a medieval existence that breeds despair, discontent and, ultimately, conflict. Immediately after oil becomes scarce, its prices will climb up, current exporters will begin to reduce supplies to free and begin to hide precious raw materials for themselves. And sooner or later, someone will want to arrange a redistribution in their favor. In other words, we are on the eve of a new kind of war - between those who have enough energy and those who do not have it, but who are more and more willing to go and get it.
By the way, the world war for oil has been going on for a long time. True, so far only gamers are participating in it, on whose computers a game called “The Third World War. Black gold. The plot, in short, is as follows - at a secret conference of the Central Geological Commission of the United Nations they announce that the world's reserves will last for a maximum of 8-10 years, and since even the most highly developed countries will not be able to find any alternative in such a short time, it remains only to try to redistribute what there is.
In the game, the United States starts World War III. In real life, it will most likely be them. After all, oil in the US, according to BP experts, will run out in 11 years. And the United States is unlikely to want to humiliate itself in front of some Muammar Gaddafi, who has enough black gold for another 59 years.
The First World War lasted more than 4 years (from August 1, 1914 to November 11, 1918). 38 states participated in it, more than 74 million people fought on its fields, of which 10 million were killed and 20 million maimed.
Because of the water
Back in 2001, UN chief Kofi Annan declared that in the new millennium "wars will be fought over water, not oil at all." The fact is that clean fresh water suitable for drinking and irrigating fields is already lacking in many countries of the world. But already by 2020, according to UN forecasts, the population of the Earth will grow so that each individual earthling will have a third less water than now. And then all the current problems - every sixth person is deprived of the opportunity to drink clean fresh water, about two million people die every year due to diseases that are caused by drinking dirty water, etc. - will multiply. And in regions where the lack of water makes itself felt especially acute, armed conflicts will begin to flare up because of the precious liquid. Many of which may well develop into the Third World War.
The most likely place for the start of the first "water war" UN experts are the basins of large rivers that cross several countries in their course - the Ganges, Mekong, Limpopo, Zambezi, Orange, Okavango, Senegal and others. (By the way, our Ob and the Irtysh were also among the potential “culprits” of the discord.) However, the conflict around the little-known Hasbani river, which fills Israel’s largest reservoir, Lake Tiberias, may turn out to be much more dangerous. However, the first 50 kilometers it flows through the territory of Lebanon, where there is also not an excess of water. But in Israel, this is not considered a reason for dividing. After an irrigation pumping station was built on Lebanon's Hasbani in 2001, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon warned that any attempt to deprive Israel of even a fraction of Israel's water would be seen as a casus belli.
Even more likely is the start of a “water war” between Pakistan and India, which essentially controls its water supply. Back in 1960, both countries signed an agreement according to which the waters of the Indus, Jhelum and Chenab rivers originating in India are considered "Pakistani". India can use the water of the "Pakistan" rivers, but has no right to change their channels or build reservoirs. The termination of this treaty means a threat to the lives of millions of ordinary Pakistanis and the complete destruction of the country's agriculture, and the first statements about the possibility of denouncing the document have already been made.
In a few years, India, in order to water its ever-increasing population, may move from words to deeds. And this, for sure, will lead to nuclear war. Javed Ashraf Qazi, the former head of Pakistani intelligence and now Minister of Transport and Communications, has already stated that if the very existence of the state of Pakistan is called into question, Islamabad will not hesitate to launch a nuclear strike on India.
72 states were involved in World War II. Up to 110 million people were mobilized in the countries participating in the war. During the war, up to 62 million people died.
Because of the food
The calculations made back in the 19th century by the English economist Thomas Malthus, according to whom, without mass death of the population during wars, the Earth simply will not be able to feed an ever-increasing population, until recently, they practically did not pay attention. Optimists argued that with the proper use of available resources, no problems will arise, even if the world's population doubles. But there is a problem. Land suitable for agricultural development is distributed extremely unevenly around the world, and those countries where there is more than enough of them are not at all eager to share with someone else. As a result, about a billion people now suffer from regular malnutrition, and about 25,000 simply die of hunger. Daily.
Moreover, it is precisely those countries where the greatest population growth has been observed in recent years that suffer from food shortages. Moreover, the situation is deteriorating in many densely populated countries, where the problems are not yet so noticeable. For example, in China there is already a shortage of grain. After reaching a historic peak of 392 million tons in 1998, grain production by the world's largest population has fallen to less than 350 million tons. The resulting shortfall has so far been covered by the reduction of China's vast grain reserves. But if this situation continues, soon China will be forced to turn to the world grain market, after which prices will rise sharply, and it will be almost impossible to provide food through imports for hundreds of millions of people.
In this situation, China will be forced to either increase grain production by raising its own virgin lands, for which it will implement the long-cherished project of turning to the arid regions of the Indus and Brahmaputra waters, or try to seize new lands in the north. But the first will mean the beginning of a "water war" with India, Bangladesh and Pakistan, and the second - a war with Russia. And in fact, and in another case, without nuclear strikes, for sure, will not do.
Because of world domination
During the confrontation between the USSR and the USA, none of the parties could get involved in a serious military conflict, reasonably fearing that the second superpower would openly take the side of the enemy. And the United States was not ready to fight with the USSR. Simply because back in the time of Robert McNamara it was calculated that even a massive preemptive nuclear strike would not save the United States from a retaliatory attack. And powerful enough to make any victory pyrrhic. Thus, the concept of "unacceptable harm" was born. According to experts, in order to force the United States to abandon all thoughts of war, it is enough to guarantee that approximately 200 megaton strikes will be carried out on their territory.
Russia's current nuclear arsenal is far more of a threat, so a US attack is not to be feared for the time being. Till. Alas, the situation may change in the near future. Created back in Soviet times, the “nuclear sword” is rapidly “rusting”. According to experts, out of 270 mobile solid-propellant complexes RS-12M Topol, only 144 can remain in service in five years. During the same period, 89 new Topol-M complexes (64 RS-12M2 and 15 RS -12M1), which is almost half the number of ICBMs of this type to be eliminated (136 units). At the same time, in the period up to 2010, the number of missile divisions of the Strategic Missile Forces will be reduced from 15 to 10, and the number of intercontinental ballistic missiles on combat duty will decrease from the current 496 to 313.
The States, meanwhile, are diligently building a powerful missile defense system. So far, it is capable - and even then not very confidently - of intercepting only single missiles. However, with the current rate of development of missile defense, the United States within 7-10 years with a high degree of probability will be able to bring its combat capabilities to intercept targets from 3-7 to 250-300. The maximum technological capabilities built into the missile defense system under construction today can ensure, with its full deployment and subsequent deep modernization, the interception of up to 1000-1200 targets.
After that, the US can - in the hope that missile defense will protect their missiles from the surviving mobile complexes and silos - venture a pre-emptive nuclear strike on Russia. If it works out, then the United States will get rid of the most dangerous adversary even before the start of the world war for resources.
How many countries will take part in World War III? How many years will it last? How many people will die on its fronts?
The third part of the article presents some possible scenarios for the outbreak of the Third World War.
Scenario 1
The United States alone or with the support of Great Britain and other allies will organize another blitzkrieg under the banner of the struggle for democracy. This time against Libya or Iran. The goal is to put someone on the Libyan "throne" who understands that "it is necessary to share." Well, for example, the head of the oppositional Gaddafi of the National Front for the Liberation of Libya Ashura Shamis, now living in London.
Unable to withstand the massive bombing and cruise missile attacks, Libya turns to the Organization of Arab States and the entire Muslim world for help. At the same time, the Libyan intelligence services are organizing terrorist attacks against the Americans, including in the United States, in scale far exceeding the disaster over Lockerbie and the explosion of a disco in .... Including the use of chemical weapons.
Anti-Arab hysteria and pogroms begin in the United States, which, in turn, leads to the activation of anti-American sentiments in the Muslim world. US military bases in Saudi Arabia and other countries are under attack, and a large-scale Palestinian uprising begins in Israel. The case ends in a lot of blood, which causes outbreaks of religious fanaticism and popular unrest. Leaders loyal to the United States, including those in Pakistan, are being replaced by irreconcilable opponents. Accusing the new regimes of supporting terrorists, the Americans are trying to eliminate their leaders, which only leads to the opening of the second, third and other "fronts".
More and more countries are getting involved in the war. At some point - the United States, Israel, Pakistan, or India, which decided to settle accounts with the latter, launch a nuclear strike on the enemy. The retaliatory strikes immediately follow, and the regional conflict develops into a world war with the use of weapons of mass destruction.
Scenario 2
Having learned about the beginning of the construction of dams on the Indus and its tributaries, the Pakistani authorities are trying to inflict bombing and missile attacks on construction sites, which causes a full-scale military conflict. The numerical superiority of the Indians puts Pakistan in danger of complete defeat, after which nuclear weapons are used. However, the Pakistanis fail to destroy the enemy's nuclear potential, and India strikes back with a nuclear strike. After that, other Muslim countries get involved in the war, and the conflict begins to rapidly turn into a world war.
Scenario 3
After 10-15 years, in order to water the growing population of their country, the Lebanese authorities begin the construction of a dam on the Hasbani River. In response, Israel again, as it did in the late 1970s, introduces its troops into Lebanon. However, by that time the once-Christian Lebanon finally turns into a Muslim country, which is common by Middle Eastern standards, and the occupation becomes the reason for the start of a large-scale Arab-Jewish war. The United States enters the war on the side of Israel, after which events develop according to scenario 1.
Will there be a third world war? Famous prophets from all over the world answer this question with frightening unanimity...
According to the data of the Google search engine over the past few days, the search query "World War 3" ("Third World War") has become one of the most popular. Indeed, the current political situation in the world is alarming. And if you read the prophecies of the predictors on this topic, then the possibility of a third world war flaring up in 2017 no longer seems so ephemeral.
All predictions of the medieval seer are very vague, however, modern interpreters believe that he predicted the Third World War in the following prophecy:
“Blood, human bodies, reddened water, hail falls on the ground ... I feel the approach of a great hunger, it will often leave, but then it will become worldwide”
According to Nostradamus, this war will come from the territory of modern Iraq and will last 27 years.
The Bulgarian clairvoyant never spoke directly about the Third World War, but she has a prophecy about the most serious consequences of military operations in Syria. This prediction was made in 1978, when nothing foreshadowed the horrors that are now happening in this Arab country.
“Mankind is destined for many more cataclysms and turbulent events... Hard times are coming, people will be divided by their faith... The most ancient teaching will come into the world... I am asked when this will happen, soon? No, not soon. Syria hasn't fallen yet...
The interpreters of Vanga's predictions believe that this prophecy refers to the coming war between East and West, which will arise on the basis of religious contradictions. After the fall of Syria, a bloody war will unfold in Europe.
Archpriest of the Lugansk diocese Maxim Volynets told about the prediction of Jonah of Odessa. When asked whether there would be a Third World War, the elder replied:
"Will. A year after my death, everything will begin. In one country smaller than Russia, there will be very serious sentiments. It will last two years and end with a big war. And then there will be a Russian Tsar"
The elder died in December 2012.
Rasputin has a prophecy about three snakes. The interpreters of his predictions believe that we are talking about three world wars.
“Three hungry snakes will crawl along the roads of Europe, leaving ashes and smoke behind them, they have one house - and this is a sword, and they have one law - violence, but, dragging humanity through dust and blood, they themselves will die from the sword”Sarah Hoffman
Sarah Hoffman is a famous American soothsayer who predicted the events of 9/11 in New York. She also prophesied catastrophic natural disasters, terrible epidemics and nuclear wars.
“I looked at the Middle East and saw how the rocket flew out of Libya and hit Israel, there was a big mushroom cloud. I knew that the rocket was actually from Iran, but the Iranians were hiding it in Libya. I knew it was a nuclear bomb. Almost immediately, rockets began to fly from one country to another, it quickly spread around the world. I also saw that many of the explosions were not from rockets, but from ground bombs."
Sarah also claimed that Russia and China would attack the United States:
“I saw Russian troops that invaded the United States of America. I saw them... mostly on the East Coast... I also saw Chinese troops invading the West Coast... It was a nuclear war. I knew it was happening all over the world. I did not see most of this war, but it was not very long ... "
Hoffman said that the Russians and Chinese would probably lose this war.
The seer and elder Seraphim Vyritsky undoubtedly possessed the gift of foresight. Back in 1927, he predicted World War II. According to eyewitnesses, already in the post-war period, one of the singers turned to him with the words:
“Dear father! How good it is now - the war is over, the bells rang in all the churches!
To this the old man replied:
“No, that's not all. There will be more fear than before. You will meet her again…”
According to the elder, troubles should be expected from China, which, with the support of the West, will seize Russia.
Schemaarchimandrite Christopher
Schema-Archimandrite Christopher, the Tula elder, believed that the Third World War would be very terrible and destructive, Russia would be drawn into it entirely, and China would be the initiator:
“There will be a Third World War for extermination, there will be very few people left on earth. Russia will become the center of a war, a very fast, missile war, after which everything will be poisoned several meters into the ground. And it will be very difficult for those who remain alive, because the earth will no longer be able to give birth ... As China goes, this is how everything will begin ”
Elena Aiello (1895 - 1961) - Italian nun, to whom the Mother of God herself allegedly appeared. In his predictions, Aiello assigns the role of the world invader to Russia. According to her, Russia with its secret weapon will fight America and conquer Europe. In another prophecy, the nun said that Russia would be almost completely burned.
Veronica Luken
American Veronica Luken (1923 - 1995) is the most beautiful soothsayer of all time, but this does not make her predictions less terrible ... Veronica claimed that for 25 years Jesus and the Virgin appeared to her and told about the fate of mankind.
“The Mother of God points to the map ... Oh, my God! ... I see Jerusalem and Egypt, Arabia, French Morocco, Africa ... My God! These countries are very dark. The Mother of God says: "The beginning of the Third World War, my child"
“The war will intensify, the massacre will become more and more intense. The living will envy the dead, so great will be the suffering of mankind."
“Syria has the key to peace, or to World War III. Three quarters of the world will be destroyed…”
1981 prediction
“I see Egypt, I see Asia. I see a lot of people, they are all marching. They look like Chinese. Ah, they are preparing for war. They get on the tanks... All these tanks are coming, a whole army of people, there are many of them. Lots of! Many of them look like small children…”
“I see Russia. They (Russians) are sitting at a big table… I think they are going to fight… I think they are going to go to war against Egypt and Africa. And then the Mother of God said: “The gathering is in Palestine. Gathering in Palestine»Joanna Southcott
The mysterious clairvoyant from England, who predicted the French Revolution, prophesied in 1815: “When war breaks out in the east, know that the end is near!”
Finally, a little optimism from Juna. When asked about the Third World War, the famous healer replied:
“My intuition never fails me… There will be no third world war. Categorically!"
Here is such infa went on a spree on the net! The analytics is simple and at the same time quite realistic.
H.z. how to deal with it....
So, the Neocon Zionists decided to plunge humanity into a nuclear Hell. They think that nuclear fire will not touch them. But they are deeply mistaken. If their manic dreams come true and they can unleash the Third World War, then there will be no winners.
But they don't understand it. Or they don't want to understand. Or they pretend not to understand.
All their recent actions towards the great nuclear power, Russia, indicate that they have decided everything for us. They are not interested in the opinion of those who do not belong to the “chosen people”.
And they went on the attack.
I will not tell you all the political events in recent days, all the attacks that they carry out against Russia and other countries. The situation is heating up with every minute. Even our elected President Trump is unlikely to change anything. Neocon Zionists blocked it heavily. Or he is just their puppet. The Senate, the CIA, the Army, no longer obey him and boycott him. One can only guess how this confrontation will end for him. But it's mostly his own fault!
Now the most important question is - How much patience will the Russian President Putin have?
Consider from a practical point of view THEIR preparations for the Third World War in just the last couple of days:
This is an example of our president digging his own grave: Neocon, Trump's envoy: Russia has more tanks in Ukraine than in all of Western Europe
Kurt Vogel (Neocon Zionist), Trump's new top "diplomatic" spokesman for the Ukraine conflict:
“First of all, Russia is already in Ukraine, they are already heavily armed,” he said. "There are more Russian tanks there than [tanks] in Western Europe, and it's a big military presence."
More Russian tanks in Donbas than in Germany, France, Great Britain, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands combined? Okay, then it would be very easy to provide us with at least one photo showing at least one battalion of Russian tanks in Eastern Ukraine.
Or did Vogel mean that Russia has thousands of invisible tanks in Ukraine?
And now THEIR military actions:
On July 26, 300 units of tanks and heavy military equipment were urgently transferred to the port of Port Arthur, USA, for transfer abroad.
Later it became known that they were to be loaded onto the US Navy transport cargo ship, Green Ridge. Interestingly, the Russians have already accused this ship of transporting American tanks to Eastern Europe.
And yesterday it became known that the port of destination for Green Ridge is Odessa, Ukraine.
In addition, it became known that two more transport cargo ships of the US Navy next week will be loaded with tanks and armored vehicles, and will go to the port of Odessa, Ukraine.
But our military equipment has been transferred to Ukraine in recent days not only by water.
A US military convoy was seen yesterday in Krosno, Poland near the border with Ukraine, moving towards the border: 
Also residents of the Polish town of Chelm, located 25 km. from the Ukrainian border, three more large convoys of American military equipment are reported heading towards the border with Ukraine. Many armored personnel carriers, Paladin M109A6 self-propelled artillery mounts and other heavy military equipment were seen in the columns.
Today it became known that several squadrons of our fighters and bombers are being transferred to Poland next week. Throughout the spring, the Polish authorities, together with our specialists, secretly prepared airfields for our aircraft. Interestingly, at specialized forums for pilots, they are talking about the fact that our planes are being transferred to Poland for military operations in the sky of Ukraine.
As we can see, activation and pre-war preparations have begun.
Why Ukraine, I think you do not need to explain. Kagal Nuland-Kagan, knowingly did the Zionist coup in Ukraine. And their fellow tribesmen who came to power, by today have prepared an excellent springboard from this territory, for the start of the Great War against Russia. Although the local power Zionists had more modest plans and wanted to make Eastern Ukraine just another Gaza Strip.
But in this upcoming war, THEM cannot do without THEIR allies from NATO.
And on July 26, they agreed: 
The NATO Deputy Secretary General met with the US Special Representative at the alliance's headquarters in Brussels on Wednesday. Ms. Gottemoeller and US Representative Vogel discussed the security situation in eastern Ukraine, Kyiv's reforms, and support (including military support) to Ukraine.
And as it became known yesterday, the result of an informal conversation between them was an agreement on the beginning of active influence on Russia.
What is meant by this influence, we can already see from the behavior of our armed forces. It remains to wait for NATO troops to join them. But as we all know, a sufficient number of NATO troops have accumulated on the borders with Russia. NATO's exercises over the past year show directly who they are going to fight against.
We just have to wait for the BEGINNING!!! And God save us!
Military Analyst John Greig
More from John Greig's analytics
"America, prepare to be destroyed! Now we will not participate in the elections of 2018. The place of the elections will be annihilated in blinding white flashes as ICBMs will begin to fly within a few months. Why?
The fact is that Congress has just imposed new sanctions on Russia. These sanctions are more severe than those imposed by America against Japan in the 1930s.
History tells us that when the new US sanctions began to suffocate the Japanese economy, only a couple of months passed and the Japanese attacked us. They just didn't have a choice.
Today, Congress is doing much the same. Almost the same, because Russia of the 21st century is somewhat not Japan. Congress imposes sanctions not against the cesspool of Third World countries, but challenges the second most powerful state on Earth after America.
As the entire Russian economy suffocates, Russia will have only two options: either fulfill all of America's demands, or, defending its own dignity, start fighting because it is better to die standing than to live on your knees. And when Russia decides to die on its feet, when that catastrophic day arrives, millions, perhaps even hundreds of millions of people in America and Europe will die in the fire of the nuclear Apocalypse.
Now many political scientists repeat that the gentlemen who sit in Congress and pass the bill against Russia are simply short-sighted fools who do not see the dire consequences. However, these political scientists are gravely mistaken. Congressmen are not stupid at all. They are EVIL!
You see, Congress knows mathematically for sure that the US is a bankrupt state that no longer has the ability to service its debts in any way. Therefore, congressmen need "debt cancellation", for which the best way is WAR. When all the world's bankers and investors suddenly see that they have no way to collect debt from people because all people are dead - naturally, they cancel the debt.
This is the plan of Congress. And the bill on sanctions against Russia is its fundamental part."
Whoever argues the opposite, trying to present Russia as the main target of overseas villains, the historical process has its own objective logic, given by demography and the economy.
The peaceful integration of the rising Dragon has failed. An indicator of this failure was the refusal of the US Congress to redistribute shares in the IMF in favor of "developing" countries, i.e. refusal to share real power in the financial sphere. The answer was the gradual creation of alternative financial institutions, not controlled by the States. There are two fundamental pillars of US global supremacy: financial, in the form of control over international institutions and global currency, which allows colonial taxes to be collected from all who use them, and military. Moreover, both are under attack from China. Thus, according to the “Military Balance 2013″, already in the period 2020-2030, China’s defense spending can be compared with US spending, and the Swedes from SIPRI believe that they can become equal in terms of PPP as early as 2018. In other words, the US has almost no time to fend off the threat to its "leadership". Another 5-10 years and the natural course of events will lead to defeat, which dictates the need for extraordinary measures. War is inevitable.
RIAC: “The Strategy clearly outlines the key regions for US naval activity, as well as their hierarchy relative to each other. In the first place is the Indo-Asia-Pacific region (Indo-Asia-Pacific, IATR). Unlike the 2007 revision, the text refers to China and its "naval expansion". The language of the document is rather cautious, China is called a source of "opportunities and challenges"... It is planned to deploy about 60% of American ships and aircraft of naval aviation in the IATR. The most modern and effective weapons systems will be based in the region.”
Moreover, at the level of "experts" much more radical ideas of a preemptive strike are already being voiced (and "accidentally" flowing into the press):
JB Press: “Military experts, including Clark, unanimously began to repeat that it was necessary to stop relying on high-tech missile defense systems and move on to offensive tactics, in which a massive pre-emptive strike would be inflicted on the enemy. That is, it is necessary to make a transition to the iron rule of the English fleet, which is the progenitor of the American one: “the line of defense must pass along the enemy coast” (the meaning of this defensive tactic is to defeat the enemy when he is still at the stage of building ships).
It should be borne in mind that the resources needed to maintain “leadership” are far from endless: the growth in defense spending in the United States, after an impressive rise in 2000-2010, has stopped and even started to decline. By their own admission, they will not be able to fight on a serious two fronts. A recent report by the Heritage Foundation, a stronghold of the Washington neocons, explicitly states that "US defensive capabilities are 'sufficient to engage in only one major regional conflict', but the US military machine is ill-equipped to deal with two simultaneous regional conflicts." .
Based on the premise of the upcoming confrontation with China in the interval of 5-10 years and the limited resources, the actions of the States are quite logical:
(1) Reconciliation with Iran and reduction of presence in the Middle East, which became possible incl. thanks to the “shale revolution” (for which the Saudis do not like it so much and are now trying to drown it in cheap oil).
(2) Engagement of Old Europe in the confrontation with Russia - it is she who must pay for the "containment" in this part of the continent, while the States will crush the Dragon. That is why a media campaign has been launched to remilitarize Europe, when from every iron they tell what a deplorable state the European armies are in and they urgently need to increase their funding (“The British army is on the verge of self-destruction!”). Only Old Europe, as opposed to the "New", completely controlled by the United States, has at least some military significance (see, for example, the share of countries in Europe's total military spending in 2013):
Plans to build "Novorossiya" fell victim to these alignments. Limited support from Russia (in August 2014, the LDNR were objectively on the verge of military defeat) was due to the need to simultaneously guarantee, on the one hand, the impossibility of the former Ukraine joining NATO, and on the other hand, to maintain European neutrality. Old Europe is clearly not eager to fight for the American patron (which can be seen, in particular, by stubbornly keeping defense spending below the 2% of GDP agreed in September 2014 in Wales), but, apparently, the continentalist/Atlantist intra-elite balance is rather fragile. Actually, hence all the dances of the USA-Europe-Russia around Minsk-2: the USA tried to use the escalation of the conflict to involve the Europeans in a new Cold War, while Moscow and Brussels agreed on a truce and, probably, the neutral status of the former Ukraine.
Die Zeit, March 16: “Putin's Russia is not a democracy, nor is the People's Republic of China. But we cannot change Russia and it will remain the way it is. As long as there is no alternative to Putin's authoritarian order, it would be a mistake to isolate Russia from Europe. Confrontation will not weaken but strengthen this regime. It is likely that most Russians, as Viktor Erofeev says, are much less liberal than their president. Those who want to achieve something in politics should come to terms with this reality.”
In other words, in exchange for the refusal to build Novorossiya (including the much-needed corridor to the Crimea and Transnistria), the Kremlin received the neutrality of Old Europe in the upcoming battle in the Russia-China format against the US-Japan in the Pacific theater (which is why, by the way, the sale was so severely blocked " Mistral). The price of this deal, in addition to the betrayal of the Russians in the Donbass, who remained in the territories occupied by the Ukronats, was the threat of a repetition of the Five-Day War in a few years, but on a large scale. The nadir of the former Ukraine will be marked by two events: (1) the rise of a hardline dictatorship with terror against all who stand up and challenge central authority, and (2) an economic collapse, likely in the form of a default. After this point, if the regime is not destroyed (and this, if this interpretation is correct, will not happen, because Russia did not finish off the former Ukraine at the moment of greatest vulnerability in the winter of 2014-2015), then the restoration of its economic and military potential will begin, with the likely aggression against the LDNR, Crimea and / or Transnistria at the right time for the Americans (probably at the same time when they start aggression against China). The scale of aggression, as in South Ossetia in 2008, will not allow Russia to evade participation in the conflict. In other words, the American version of playing the former Ukraine "in the long run" involves using it in the medium term as a "kamikaze" that distracts us from the Pacific theater of operations. Preparations for this have already begun:
Rosbalt, March 27: “Leading US defense companies will invest in the development of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. Relevant agreements were reached during the visit of the management of Ukroboronprom to the United States. The concern expects that the experience and technologies of the United States will help speed up the process of reforming the Ukrainian military-industrial complex and implement the program of import substitution of Russian components for Ukrainian weapons.”
Vzglyad, March 27: “The Israeli defense industry concern Elbit held working meetings with a delegation from Dnepropetrovsk, during the negotiations the possibility of supplying Israeli night vision devices and thermal imagers to Ukraine, as well as the possible opening by the Israelis of the production of defense systems in Ukraine, was discussed.”
This is not to say that beyond the Wall is not aware of such a scenario:
In other words, choosing between the prospect of a conflict with Old Europe or with the former Ukraine, which survived an economic and political heart attack, but with the condition of abandoning Novorossia, the Kremlin made a logical choice in favor of the latter scenario (the introduction of peacekeepers, by the way, does not contradict it, as does “returning » PMR). Disgustingly rational.
If this interpretation of events is correct, then Minsk-2 - contrary to what everyone around writes about its imminent and sudden death - will live long enough: just long enough to build up military potential for a new major war in Europe.
Actually, the timing of the start of World War III is limited by these factors:
(1) can't wait too long as China's potential will only grow - 5-10 years at the most
(2) it is necessary to prepare the allies for the conflict - if not the Europeans, who resist by hook or by crook, then at least the Ukrainians - at least 3-5 years.
